Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 1577.327443 1725.924234 1877.239236 2042.570945 2217.850752 2397.862673 2596.428120
2025-04-06 1331.106811 1549.722181 1781.670871 2044.956950 2334.380613 2641.738859 2991.701971
2025-04-13 1129.859151 1382.012350 1658.288039 1981.112980 2345.616460 2742.157925 3203.856461
2025-04-20 1055.066480 1341.527936 1663.310848 2047.653414 2490.318957 2980.420088 3560.236265
2025-04-27 978.136910 1289.068765 1646.382535 2081.647619 2591.818250 3165.338037 3853.196427
2025-05-04 894.277707 1220.519383 1603.767985 2079.435490 2646.166150 3292.297073 4076.978797
2025-05-11 815.251426 1151.353380 1554.675123 2064.232790 2680.728636 3392.808285 4267.520944
2025-05-18 760.137869 1107.513836 1532.451472 2077.870925 2746.699147 3528.001235 4497.218860
2025-05-25 699.821112 1052.728484 1492.933825 2066.950651 2780.269407 3622.795116 4677.954651
2025-06-01 660.977166 1023.082028 1482.626140 2090.186672 2853.904449 3764.512218 4914.175730
2025-06-08 608.731198 972.196014 1442.210543 2072.884238 2875.370474 3841.747014 5072.138260
2025-06-15 588.036123 962.664758 1454.292184 2121.563641 2978.570675 4018.408000 5350.763376
2025-06-22 553.265739 932.280249 1438.205498 2133.941231 3037.001147 4142.044283 5568.038013
2025-06-29 517.268362 898.080918 1415.368254 2136.238945 3081.898191 4248.871709 5765.391453
2025-07-06 460.353371 830.042615 1343.317410 2070.403296 3036.624275 4241.185767 5819.788952
2025-07-13 453.248102 835.058165 1371.760088 2139.021751 3165.954355 4453.392314 6148.383304
2025-07-20 435.781201 823.288144 1375.837951 2174.069719 3251.171459 4610.069856 6408.413982
2025-07-27 407.923880 793.866771 1353.481068 2171.789177 3286.342006 4702.677195 6588.068910
2025-08-03 378.116758 759.531462 1322.460730 2156.115714 3302.597776 4770.353509 6735.950538
2025-08-10 358.876494 740.886138 1313.311559 2170.176213 3358.175501 4888.518000 6948.153997
2025-08-17 334.025868 711.530676 1287.025672 2158.917813 3378.708411 4960.780460 7101.722296
2025-08-24 320.020588 699.373250 1285.803365 2182.872651 3446.919094 5095.268605 7335.521564
2025-08-31 296.425717 669.415589 1256.310497 2165.035189 3457.001629 5153.069718 7470.444990